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Red465
1629203.4
2199157.4
4456118.9
Blue178
2964111.3
6584111.7
3389134.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4071890100300500600700465178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.42.1
192.2194.3
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
red by 69.2
3389
#14
134.21.2
130.2131.4
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
Second
157.41.6
150.9152.4
Auto21.6
Teleop124.4
End13.6
red by 45.7
6584
#27
111.70.1
111.6111.7
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
Third
4456
#12
118.91.1
119.6118.6
Auto16.7
Teleop93.2
End8.4
red by 7.6
2964
#25
111.30.7
108.8109.5
Auto18.0
Teleop82.8
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed