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Red194
6505105.4
4456118.9
1915107.8
Blue435
3389134.2
1629203.4
6326119.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1874210100300500600700194435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#12
118.90.1
118.6118.5
Auto16.7
Teleop93.2
End8.4
blue by 84.5
203.42.5
194.3196.8
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
Second
1915
#11
107.80.4
106.3106.7
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End9.6
blue by 26.5
3389
#14
134.20.9
131.4132.2
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
Third
6505
#17
105.40.3
104.4104.7
Auto17.3
Teleop78.1
End13.1
blue by 13.6
6326
#35
119.10.7
116.6115.9
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed