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Red380
3650112.1
4541171.5
6326119.1
Blue237
6584111.7
449135.6
5549120.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572720100200400500600700380237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.4
170.4170.0
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
red by 35.9
449
#24
135.60.7
134.0134.7
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
Second
6326
#35
119.10.2
115.9115.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8
blue by 1.2
5549
#20
120.20.1
119.4119.5
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
Third
3650
#38
112.10.0
111.6111.7
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
red by 0.4
6584
#27
111.70.1
111.7111.8
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed