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Red294
2377181.1
4541171.5
5549120.2
Blue359
614154.1
836162.9
6326119.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387301100200500600294359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#10
181.10.4
180.3180.7
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
red by 18.2
836
#4
162.90.3
161.0161.3
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
Second
171.50.3
170.9171.3
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
red by 17.4
614
#23
154.10.2
153.0153.1
Auto18.8
Teleop119.8
End17.5
Third
5549
#20
120.20.2
119.9120.1
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
red by 1.2
6326
#35
119.10.3
117.2117.5
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8