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Red296
4821122.5
3373118.4
3793127.2
Blue111
2900106.2
2964105.3
3650112.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298269150200250350400450296111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3793
#20
127.21.4
115.6117.0
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
red by 15.1
3650
#33
112.13.8
99.0102.8
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
Second
4821
#19
122.52.1
112.8115.0
Auto15.2
Teleop92.6
End15.7
red by 16.2
2900
#15
106.21.2
94.195.3
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9
Third
3373
#25
118.40.3
125.6125.3
Auto17.3
Teleop92.5
End7.0
red by 13.2
2964
#30
105.31.5
106.0107.5
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed