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Red219
650593.5
4821122.5
1389111.8
Blue277
5115133.5
3373118.4
1727127.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483140100200400500600219277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4821
#19
122.51.9
115.0116.9
Auto15.2
Teleop92.6
End15.7
blue by 11.0
5115
#17
133.52.7
112.4115.0
Auto17.7
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Second
1389
#13
111.80.2
107.2107.0
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
blue by 15.3
1727
#26
127.15.4
107.6113.0
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End21.2
Third
6505
#34
93.55.2
83.388.5
Auto14.5
Teleop75.7
End4.5
blue by 25.0
3373
#25
118.40.1
125.3125.2
Auto17.3
Teleop92.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed