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Red230
4137100.8
620144.7
686399.4
Blue486
5841103.1
623169.6
3793127.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603200100200400500600230486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#10
144.71.4
130.5131.9
Auto19.1
Teleop105.5
End23.3
blue by 25.0
623
#5
169.61.9
152.5154.4
Auto18.4
Teleop128.7
End25.3
Second
4137
#28
100.82.4
105.8108.2
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
blue by 26.4
3793
#20
127.20.8
118.3119.1
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Third
6863
#32
99.40.5
98.298.7
Auto16.1
Teleop79.4
End-1.0
blue by 3.7
5841
#24
103.11.3
110.0108.7
Auto14.3
Teleop78.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed