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Red550
171998.1
4541159.2
5945154.3
Blue182
3650112.1
2912109.9
689390.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333200100300400500600550182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.22.6
143.5146.1
Auto19.3
Teleop122.1
End20.1
red by 47.1
3650
#33
112.10.4
111.3111.7
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
Second
154.33.8
131.2135.0
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
red by 44.4
2912
#37
109.90.1
109.2109.1
Auto13.7
Teleop81.9
End14.3
Third
1719
#21
98.11.0
95.694.6
Auto14.3
Teleop77.7
End9.8
red by 7.9
6893
#31
90.30.1
93.493.3
Auto12.9
Teleop73.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed