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Red231
1111131.1
5945154.3
2914127.5
Blue387
4821122.5
4514120.6
1895143.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336219100300400500600231387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.314.9
84.999.8
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
red by 11.3
1895
#18
143.00.2
132.6132.9
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
Second
131.11.6
144.7143.1
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
red by 8.6
4821
#19
122.50.4
110.7111.0
Auto15.2
Teleop92.6
End15.7
Third
2914
#16
127.52.0
112.8114.8
Auto15.0
Teleop101.1
End10.0
red by 6.9
4514
#12
120.60.0
100.2100.3
Auto13.5
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed4%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed