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Red308
2964105.3
5243117.9
5587152.4
Blue221
3793127.2
4099125.9
4137100.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334250100200300400500308221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.42.2
143.5145.6
Auto23.4
Teleop111.1
End17.1
red by 25.3
3793
#20
127.20.8
121.3122.1
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Second
5243
#22
117.90.2
112.5112.3
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
blue by 8.0
4099
#23
125.93.9
113.3117.3
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End7.1
Third
2964
#30
105.31.0
104.0104.9
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
red by 4.5
4137
#28
100.81.9
107.1105.2
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed