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Red312
620144.7
3793127.2
611130.5
Blue322
5945154.3
4821122.5
2186124.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334329200250300350400450312322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#10
144.72.4
135.9138.3
Auto19.1
Teleop105.5
End23.3
blue by 9.6
154.34.7
140.0144.8
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
611
#36
130.51.3
128.1129.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
red by 6.3
2186
#14
124.30.0
121.4121.4
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7
Third
3793
#20
127.21.1
122.6123.7
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
red by 4.7
4821
#19
122.51.1
120.6121.7
Auto15.2
Teleop92.6
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed