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Red144
2964105.3
611130.5
4821122.5
Blue414
1885170.6
5243117.9
4541159.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211399100300500600700144414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#36
130.50.2
130.6130.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
blue by 40.1
170.62.2
165.2167.5
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
Second
4821
#19
122.50.2
122.7122.5
Auto15.2
Teleop92.6
End15.7
blue by 36.8
159.21.5
156.0157.5
Auto19.3
Teleop122.1
End20.1
Third
2964
#30
105.30.3
105.6105.3
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
blue by 12.6
5243
#22
117.91.6
113.9115.5
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed