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Red385
5687200.7
133210.7
5122116.6
Blue356
6329154.3
4564193.1
4906134.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398319100200500600700385356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
210.70.3
210.4210.7
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
red by 17.6
193.10.4
192.7193.1
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
Second
200.70.3
200.4200.7
Auto23.5
Teleop155.7
End22.5
red by 46.5
154.30.2
154.1154.3
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
Third
5122
#40
116.60.2
116.4116.6
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 17.6
4906
#24
134.20.0
134.2134.2
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0