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Red283
58159.1
2370158.3
2523129.6
Blue296
1768130.2
663169.1
6224138.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3013390100200400500600700283296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
159.10.1
158.9159.0
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
blue by 10.0
663
#7
169.10.3
168.3168.6
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Second
158.30.6
157.1157.7
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
red by 20.3
6224
#25
138.00.1
138.4138.3
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
Third
2523
#32
129.60.1
129.8129.7
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End19.9
blue by 0.6
1768
#22
130.20.1
129.9130.0
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2