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Red367
95181.9
1831128.5
663169.1
Blue211
2370158.3
1768130.2
1735110.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072120100300500600367211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#12
181.91.1
177.8178.9
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
red by 23.6
158.30.5
153.2153.7
Auto22.9
Teleop115.7
End21.1
Second
663
#7
169.11.3
164.4165.7
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
red by 39.0
1768
#22
130.21.5
122.0123.5
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
Third
1831
#29
128.50.3
131.6131.8
Auto16.0
Teleop98.0
End13.7
red by 17.9
1735
#28
110.60.6
109.4108.8
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed