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Red377
6172152.8
3609111.8
5265123.6
Blue169
4042110.8
6161117.9
6337130.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298295200250350400377169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#20
152.81.4
146.9148.2
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
red by 22.8
6337
#37
130.00.6
133.3133.9
Auto16.3
Teleop97.9
End16.0
Second
5265
#15
123.60.0
115.9115.9
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
red by 5.7
6161
#21
117.93.5
112.0115.4
Auto16.3
Teleop87.3
End16.3
Third
3609
#23
111.85.1
105.3110.4
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
red by 1.0
4042
#35
110.81.3
109.4110.7
Auto16.1
Teleop86.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed