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Red296
6329154.3
1831128.5
6172152.8
Blue201
4041157.1
5633132.6
5471112.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354264100200300400500296201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.30.5
150.2150.7
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
blue by 2.8
4041
#11
157.10.1
150.2150.1
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
Second
6172
#20
152.82.0
148.2150.2
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
red by 20.2
5633
#33
132.61.8
125.0126.8
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
Third
1831
#29
128.50.1
131.8131.9
Auto16.0
Teleop98.0
End13.7
red by 16.5
5471
#26
112.00.1
106.2106.3
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed