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Red230
95181.9
5265123.6
5471112.0
Blue452
4564193.1
4546111.4
6153131.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913170100200400500600230452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#12
181.90.9
175.5176.4
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
blue by 11.2
193.10.8
175.2175.9
Auto25.7
Teleop142.2
End26.6
Second
5265
#15
123.60.5
117.5117.0
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
blue by 8.0
6153
#13
131.71.6
119.1120.6
Auto17.6
Teleop99.3
End15.5
Third
5471
#26
112.00.6
107.1107.8
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
red by 0.5
4546
#19
111.415.2
81.496.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed