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Red319
5471112.0
6329154.3
4473135.1
Blue258
3609111.8
5633132.6
1768130.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285299150200250350400450319258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.30.6
151.0151.6
Auto23.5
Teleop109.8
End23.0
red by 21.6
5633
#33
132.62.5
127.0129.5
Auto17.3
Teleop98.6
End16.6
Second
4473
#14
135.11.0
128.1129.1
Auto18.1
Teleop96.2
End22.5
red by 5.0
1768
#22
130.22.0
125.5127.6
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
Third
5471
#26
112.00.8
106.0106.8
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
red by 0.1
3609
#23
111.80.3
115.8115.5
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed