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Red287
2648134.7
4055153.1
1735110.6
Blue317
133210.7
5265123.6
4906134.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267404100200300500600287317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#10
153.11.5
145.9147.3
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
blue by 57.6
133
#1
210.72.1
204.7206.8
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
Second
2648
#16
134.70.2
136.9136.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End16.6
red by 0.4
4906
#24
134.20.1
136.1136.3
Auto16.7
Teleop101.8
End17.0
Third
1735
#28
110.60.7
107.3108.0
Auto16.9
Teleop80.7
End12.7
blue by 13.1
5265
#15
123.61.6
118.3119.9
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed