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Red292
5471112.0
6224138.0
3525118.6
Blue157
1831128.5
3609111.8
3451112.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301277100200400500292157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6224
#25
138.00.5
139.1138.5
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
red by 9.6
1831
#29
128.50.7
131.2130.5
Auto16.0
Teleop98.0
End13.7
Second
3525
#34
118.60.2
119.0118.7
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
red by 6.2
3451
#27
112.41.4
111.0112.4
Auto15.7
Teleop85.6
End11.1
Third
5471
#26
112.01.3
108.0109.3
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
red by 0.1
3609
#23
111.81.1
114.6113.5
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed