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Red237
95181.9
5122116.6
6172152.8
Blue278
5265123.6
663169.1
237170.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333347200250300400450500237278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#12
181.90.3
183.3183.1
Auto16.4
Teleop149.9
End15.0
red by 11.7
237
#4
170.31.4
167.1168.5
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
Second
6172
#20
152.80.5
153.4153.9
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
blue by 16.3
663
#7
169.10.7
167.2168.0
Auto18.0
Teleop130.9
End20.3
Third
5122
#40
116.61.2
114.4115.6
Auto15.5
Teleop83.9
End19.1
blue by 7.0
5265
#15
123.61.0
122.1123.0
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed