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Red117
58159.1
4958120.8
3609111.8
Blue392
6172152.8
237170.3
172133.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318321150200250300350400117392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
159.11.0
153.1154.1
Auto19.1
Teleop124.7
End14.6
blue by 11.2
237
#4
170.31.8
155.3157.1
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
Second
4958
#30
120.812.4
86.799.1
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End13.9
blue by 32.0
6172
#20
152.81.2
142.5143.7
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
Third
3609
#23
111.816.3
72.388.5
Auto13.4
Teleop83.9
End16.7
blue by 21.5
172
#17
133.30.1
122.9123.0
Auto16.0
Teleop101.3
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed