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Red411
237170.3
133210.7
6224138.0
Blue115
5471112.0
6172152.8
348142.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437249100200300400500600700800411115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
210.70.5
209.2209.7
Auto26.5
Teleop149.4
End35.1
red by 57.9
6172
#20
152.80.4
153.9153.6
Auto17.3
Teleop115.6
End18.5
Second
237
#4
170.30.9
168.5169.5
Auto22.9
Teleop123.8
End24.1
red by 28.1
348
#9
142.20.3
142.3142.6
Auto18.6
Teleop103.0
End20.2
Third
6224
#25
138.00.1
138.5138.4
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
red by 26.1
5471
#26
112.01.3
110.6112.0
Auto13.1
Teleop88.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed