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Red319
1768130.2
3930133.3
4041157.1
Blue305
5506111.8
5265123.6
6224138.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323265100200300400500319305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#11
157.10.4
149.4149.8
Auto20.9
Teleop115.0
End21.8
red by 19.1
6224
#25
138.01.1
133.6134.7
Auto16.8
Teleop111.8
End9.8
Second
3930
#36
133.30.1
129.8129.7
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End13.8
red by 9.6
5265
#15
123.60.6
117.0116.4
Auto17.3
Teleop88.8
End19.1
Third
1768
#22
130.20.7
119.9120.6
Auto17.9
Teleop99.0
End13.2
red by 18.4
5506
#38
111.811.0
94.0105.1
Auto14.7
Teleop82.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed