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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Summer Heat
Red385
2877184.2
4564192.6
885132.8
Blue195
2648134.0
6933159.6
9996112.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162460100200300500600385195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#1
192.60.3
190.1→190.5
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
red by 33.0
6933
#14
159.60.0
159.6→159.6
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
Second
2877
#6
184.20.2
182.6→182.7
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 50.1
2648
#23
134.00.3
133.5→133.8
Auto15.5
Teleop103.5
End15.5
Third
885
#15
132.80.0
131.9→131.9
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
red by 20.0
9996
#18
112.90.6
111.9→112.5
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End9.2