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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Summer Heat
Red492
2877184.2
4564192.6
885132.8
Blue147
2648134.0
6933159.6
9996112.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152440100200300500600492147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#1
192.60.3
190.5→190.8
Auto24.4
Teleop144.1
End29.4
red by 33.0
6933
#14
159.60.0
159.6→159.6
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
Second
2877
#6
184.20.1
182.7→182.9
Auto21.6
Teleop146.7
End19.6
red by 50.1
2648
#23
134.00.2
133.8→134.0
Auto15.5
Teleop103.5
End15.5
Third
885
#15
132.80.0
131.9→132.0
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
red by 20.0
9996
#18
112.90.4
112.5→112.9
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End9.2