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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Summer Heat
Red344
3461170.0
1071154.8
999894.8
Blue277
58152.9
3609123.1
6172146.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315312200250350400450344277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#8
170.00.4
171.1→170.8
Auto19.5
Teleop131.4
End20.5
red by 17.1
58
#11
152.90.1
153.1→153.0
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
Second
1071
#7
154.80.3
155.8→155.5
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
red by 8.8
6172
#16
146.00.0
146.0→146.0
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
Third
9998
#20
94.80.7
92.0→92.7
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
blue by 28.3
3609
#9
123.10.2
122.7→122.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3