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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Summer Heat
Red347
3461170.0
1071154.8
999894.8
Blue242
58152.9
3609123.1
6172146.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316315260280300320340347242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#8
170.00.3
170.8→170.4
Auto19.5
Teleop131.4
End20.5
red by 17.1
58
#11
152.90.1
153.0→152.9
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
Second
1071
#7
154.80.3
155.5→155.2
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
red by 8.8
6172
#16
146.00.0
146.0→146.0
Auto17.5
Teleop108.9
End21.9
Third
9998
#20
94.80.7
92.7→93.4
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End8.4
blue by 28.3
3609
#9
123.10.2
122.9→123.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End19.3