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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Summer Heat
Red437
5813183.8
131163.6
6153141.1
Blue359
1058150.7
4055152.7
6329159.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382307200500600437359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#4
183.80.1
182.8→182.9
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
red by 24.2
6329
#19
159.50.0
159.6→159.5
Auto20.6
Teleop118.4
End18.6
Second
131
#2
163.60.9
159.3→160.2
Auto18.3
Teleop130.9
End16.8
red by 10.8
4055
#12
152.70.0
152.8→152.7
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End32.1
Third
6153
#22
141.10.6
138.2→138.8
Auto17.4
Teleop105.2
End21.0
blue by 9.6
1058
#17
150.70.2
150.5→150.7
Auto16.6
Teleop118.5
End17.9