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Qual 242018 Summer Heat
Red325
1071154.8
5813183.8
885132.8
Blue227
172121.6
9999101.2
58152.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932300100200300500600325227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#4
183.80.7
182.0→182.7
Auto21.6
Teleop140.5
End22.3
red by 30.9
58
#11
152.90.5
153.6→153.1
Auto18.8
Teleop117.7
End15.7
Second
1071
#7
154.80.8
156.5→155.8
Auto18.9
Teleop112.4
End23.8
red by 33.3
172
#21
121.62.0
125.4→123.3
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End7.5
Third
885
#15
132.80.6
131.3→131.9
Auto15.3
Teleop102.6
End16.8
red by 31.7
9999
#24
101.21.0
99.5→100.6
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed