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Red494
6077160.1
5505194.0
6121127.6
Blue304
5193160.6
5230157.3
5534131.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380304100200500600494304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.00.4
193.7194.0
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
red by 33.5
160.60.5
160.1160.6
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
Second
160.10.3
159.9160.1
Auto16.7
Teleop122.0
End22.0
red by 2.9
157.30.2
157.1157.3
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Third
6121
#14
127.60.4
127.2127.6
Auto23.4
Teleop92.9
End14.3
blue by 4.2
5534
#17
131.80.1
131.9131.8
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0