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Quarterfinal 4-22018 FIM District Alpena Event
Red327
5193160.6
5230157.3
5534131.8
Blue236
6637146.4
7154121.1
2246109.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373225100300500600700800327236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#5
160.60.6
157.9→158.5
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
red by 14.2
6637
#22
146.40.4
146.8→146.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
Second
5230
#4
157.30.2
156.4→156.6
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 36.2
7154
#8
121.10.3
120.8→121.1
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End12.9
Third
5534
#17
131.80.1
132.4→132.3
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
red by 22.5
2246
#18
109.30.2
109.1→109.3
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End11.6