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Red223
2246109.3
6088133.3
5534131.8
Blue301
6121127.6
5547144.4
6097130.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251304100200400500223301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#11
133.31.0
116.1117.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
blue by 11.1
144.40.4
126.0126.4
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
Second
5534
#17
131.80.9
133.6132.7
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
red by 1.6
6097
#26
130.21.1
119.4120.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.7
End14.4
Third
2246
#18
109.30.2
107.9108.1
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 18.2
6121
#14
127.60.6
131.6131.0
Auto23.4
Teleop92.9
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed