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Red149
5110119.9
7155118.6
3537133.7
Blue245
5534131.8
4983149.7
5661115.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289293150200250300149245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#25
133.70.9
135.8134.9
Auto16.5
Teleop102.9
End14.0
blue by 16.0
149.70.1
146.5146.7
Auto19.1
Teleop111.7
End20.9
Second
5110
#28
119.92.0
124.5122.5
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
blue by 11.8
5534
#17
131.81.1
131.7130.6
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
Third
7155
#34
118.60.6
123.9123.3
Auto15.4
Teleop86.6
End17.0
red by 3.2
5661
#15
115.40.5
117.9117.4
Auto15.0
Teleop86.8
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed