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Red172
717194.0
3322144.7
7020101.4
Blue365
3603150.4
6075103.6
5697132.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245310100200400500172365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#12
144.71.7
136.2137.9
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End13.6
blue by 5.8
3603
#13
150.41.8
138.4140.2
Auto16.7
Teleop110.7
End26.1
Second
7020
#40
101.40.9
100.899.9
Auto12.8
Teleop77.6
End11.6
blue by 31.3
5697
#23
132.70.4
127.1126.7
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End21.7
Third
7171
#32
94.00.3
96.796.4
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End11.8
blue by 9.6
6075
#39
103.60.0
104.7104.7
Auto15.5
Teleop73.6
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed