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Red278
6074102.7
7244120.0
5230157.3
Blue286
6637146.4
6545108.6
515697.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271259150200300350278286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.32.7
133.8136.5
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 10.8
6637
#22
146.40.1
143.6143.7
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
Second
7244
#31
120.00.9
99.0100.0
Auto15.5
Teleop86.8
End19.7
red by 11.4
6545
#24
108.62.6
108.4105.8
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
Third
6074
#29
102.70.8
103.3102.5
Auto16.7
Teleop74.1
End13.0
red by 5.1
5156
#38
97.62.0
110.9108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop75.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed