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Red291
5230157.3
5697132.7
515697.6
Blue292
3603150.4
4983149.7
6067150.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276370100200400500600291292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.32.6
139.3141.9
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 6.8
3603
#13
150.42.2
142.5144.7
Auto16.7
Teleop110.7
End26.1
Second
5697
#23
132.70.5
127.2127.7
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End21.7
blue by 17.4
6067
#10
150.11.7
147.5149.2
Auto17.7
Teleop104.9
End26.3
Third
5156
#38
97.61.6
107.9106.3
Auto14.4
Teleop75.9
End8.1
blue by 52.1
149.70.8
146.8146.0
Auto19.1
Teleop111.7
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed