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Red396
6077160.1
6637146.4
5110119.9
Blue210
6638101.3
661193.7
6088133.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3841650100200300500600396210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.10.9
155.6156.5
Auto16.7
Teleop122.0
End22.0
red by 26.9
6088
#11
133.31.5
120.5122.0
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
Second
6637
#22
146.40.1
144.4144.5
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
red by 45.2
6638
#27
101.30.0
99.399.3
Auto15.2
Teleop76.1
End12.2
Third
5110
#28
119.91.1
120.2119.1
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
red by 26.2
6611
#36
93.70.1
93.893.7
Auto15.0
Teleop71.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed