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Red220
6075103.6
2246109.3
6493134.0
Blue414
3322144.7
5230157.3
5110119.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227353100300400500600220414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.02.2
119.4121.6
Auto14.6
Teleop105.1
End16.7
blue by 23.3
157.32.3
141.9144.2
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Second
2246
#18
109.30.5
108.8109.2
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 35.4
3322
#12
144.70.9
139.6140.5
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End13.6
Third
6075
#39
103.60.3
106.0106.4
Auto15.5
Teleop73.6
End13.5
blue by 16.4
5110
#28
119.90.5
119.1118.6
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed