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Red267
5193160.6
7084115.1
6545108.6
Blue378
3603150.4
6097130.2
661193.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329263100200300400500600267378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.62.8
140.8143.7
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
red by 10.1
3603
#13
150.41.3
144.7146.0
Auto16.7
Teleop110.7
End26.1
Second
7084
#16
115.10.5
113.4113.9
Auto19.2
Teleop88.7
End7.6
blue by 15.1
6097
#26
130.20.2
123.4123.6
Auto16.8
Teleop99.7
End14.4
Third
6545
#24
108.60.4
103.1103.5
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End12.6
red by 14.9
6611
#36
93.70.2
93.793.9
Auto15.0
Teleop71.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed