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Red217
5230157.3
7156100.4
6097130.2
Blue383
5110119.9
5193160.6
7244120.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290318100200400500600217383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.32.4
144.2146.6
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
blue by 3.3
160.62.6
143.7146.2
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
Second
6097
#26
130.20.9
123.6124.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.7
End14.4
red by 10.2
7244
#31
120.02.1
106.5108.6
Auto15.5
Teleop86.8
End19.7
Third
7156
#35
100.41.1
93.794.8
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.9
blue by 19.6
5110
#28
119.90.2
118.6118.8
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed