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Red286
7213133.5
5110119.9
5525139.8
Blue341
6088133.3
7155118.6
6637146.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295308150200250350400450286341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.80.9
134.5135.4
Auto18.9
Teleop95.9
End25.9
blue by 6.6
6637
#22
146.40.1
146.3146.5
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.3
Second
7213
#33
133.50.8
134.3133.5
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End17.9
red by 0.2
6088
#11
133.31.6
124.6126.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End21.7
Third
5110
#28
119.90.9
118.8119.7
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End9.9
red by 1.3
7155
#34
118.60.0
119.3119.3
Auto15.4
Teleop86.6
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed