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Red436
7156100.4
5505194.0
7250119.6
Blue226
717194.0
3603150.4
5547144.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302760100200400500600700800436226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.01.8
181.9183.7
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
red by 43.6
3603
#13
150.40.5
148.4148.8
Auto16.7
Teleop110.7
End26.1
Second
7250
#19
119.60.2
114.8115.0
Auto20.5
Teleop87.1
End11.8
blue by 24.8
144.42.1
136.3138.4
Auto20.5
Teleop103.1
End21.1
Third
7156
#35
100.40.7
95.696.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End8.9
red by 6.4
7171
#32
94.00.1
92.993.0
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed