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Red135
6075103.6
515697.6
5193160.6
Blue264
2405145.3
715090.5
7213133.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303279200400500135264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.62.6
151.3154.0
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
red by 15.3
2405
#21
145.31.2
139.8141.0
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
Second
6075
#39
103.60.6
105.3105.9
Auto15.5
Teleop73.6
End13.5
blue by 29.9
7213
#33
133.50.2
133.0133.2
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End17.9
Third
5156
#38
97.61.1
101.6100.6
Auto14.4
Teleop75.9
End8.1
red by 7.2
7150
#20
90.50.1
89.889.6
Auto16.7
Teleop66.0
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed