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Red181
3537133.7
4983149.7
717194.0
Blue318
6493134.0
6121127.6
6074102.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922690100200400500600181318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.71.2
146.3147.5
Auto19.1
Teleop111.7
End20.9
red by 15.7
134.02.3
127.5129.8
Auto14.6
Teleop105.1
End16.7
Second
3537
#25
133.70.4
133.2133.6
Auto16.5
Teleop102.9
End14.0
red by 6.2
6121
#14
127.60.2
124.1124.2
Auto23.4
Teleop92.9
End14.3
Third
7171
#32
94.00.6
93.293.8
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End11.8
blue by 8.7
6074
#29
102.70.3
102.8102.6
Auto16.7
Teleop74.1
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed