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Red215
5230157.3
5505194.0
5534131.8
Blue262
7154121.1
717194.0
5193160.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421223100300500600700215262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.02.5
189.1191.7
Auto19.4
Teleop149.6
End26.9
red by 33.5
160.62.0
155.1157.1
Auto17.2
Teleop117.9
End28.3
Second
157.31.9
154.2156.1
Auto19.9
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 36.2
121.10.8
119.6120.5
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End12.9
Third
5534
#17
131.80.5
132.0132.5
Auto20.7
Teleop95.5
End16.0
red by 37.8
7171
#32
94.00.2
93.894.0
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed