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Red411
998960.1
3604164.1
6618177.0
Blue365
33202.7
5050204.6
5577144.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2484390200400600800411365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#20
177.00.0
177.0177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
blue by 27.6
204.60.0
204.6204.6
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
Second
164.10.0
164.1164.1
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
blue by 38.6
33
#17
202.70.0
202.7202.7
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 83.8
5577
#32
144.00.0
144.0144.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2