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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Big Bang!
Red0
503176.4
2620117.6
280112.6
Blue342
4130161.6
6914126.0
5530165.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27938002006008001,0000342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#7
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
red by 11.4
5530
#21
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Second
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
blue by 44.0
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
Third
280
#19
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
blue by 13.4
6914
#26
126.00.0
126.0126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0