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Red160
1481146.9
5498125.9
6618177.0
Blue326
5050204.6
5907163.7
1732159.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277433100200400500600700800160326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#20
177.00.0
177.0177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
blue by 27.6
204.60.0
204.6204.6
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
Second
1481
#18
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
blue by 16.8
5907
#25
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
Third
5498
#28
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
blue by 33.3
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest odds96%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds43%Face the Boss odds